Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.523475 4.066687 4.663218 5.366572 6.172917 7.068170 8.137341
2025-01-12 2.720068 3.419045 4.251318 5.314139 6.634281 8.219218 10.265991
2025-01-19 2.059267 2.790171 3.724472 5.003812 6.707777 8.897071 11.922023
2025-01-26 1.761457 2.550908 3.625437 5.190220 7.406242 10.427653 14.856253
2025-02-02 1.580763 2.430415 3.653898 5.536523 8.352659 12.400498 18.652639
2025-02-09 1.377544 2.237876 3.542509 5.653962 8.974328 13.982117 22.094176
2025-02-16 1.202569 2.055691 3.412653 5.713346 9.501350 15.471826 25.573751
2025-02-23 1.020450 1.830064 3.176922 5.562325 9.662283 16.395819 28.260597
2025-03-02 0.853790 1.602212 2.901147 5.298233 9.588151 16.910809 30.313318
2025-03-09 0.761160 1.489702 2.804678 5.325313 10.007512 18.288492 33.983205
2025-03-16 0.660936 1.347007 2.632906 5.189384 10.110734 19.115189 36.759466
2025-03-23 0.627136 1.326495 2.683357 5.472443 11.019405 21.487310 42.630827
2025-03-30 0.582532 1.280318 2.683190 5.667612 11.805118 23.760699 48.670954
2025-04-06 0.524317 1.196986 2.597825 5.680744 12.233522 25.402667 53.691959
2025-04-13 0.446411 1.058768 2.379840 5.387680 11.995289 25.694648 56.031889
2025-04-20 0.421329 1.034759 2.401508 5.611250 12.877307 28.374116 63.652396
2025-04-27 0.410366 1.041738 2.492079 5.999410 14.167457 32.058942 73.861457
2025-05-04 0.382297 1.003169 2.473602 6.135100 14.906637 34.637018 81.943269
2025-05-11 0.352929 0.956654 2.429828 6.204550 15.500166 36.957294 89.714287
2025-05-18 0.313732 0.878592 2.298863 6.043822 15.524161 37.980605 94.598495
2025-05-25 0.273050 0.789806 2.128287 5.759102 15.204530 38.156088 97.472102
2025-06-01 0.252299 0.752109 2.082954 5.789439 15.678717 40.283151 105.343937
2025-06-08 0.225870 0.694114 1.976107 5.642525 15.676847 41.241279 110.411379